Yesterday, I moved the mulch. Just in case.
But the soil underneath was indeed a nice dark wet look. The plant already has slow-release Osmocote pellets and organic matter compost.
However, I am going to try (as of yesterday) watering twice a day, 12h apart, just in case it is dehydration.
The backstory for my post is that this fan is small, smaller than many of my seedlings that are only 6mth old. I am guessing it is a new-growth side-fan from 2022, given the small size. One of my fall 2021 seedlings this year of similar size bloomed nicely a couple months back but then the foliage was dying off at the same time. I cut the scape after only 2 buds bloomed, with 1 green leaf left.
The plant died back completely, I thought it was toast and I was too late. But then a new fan popped out a few weeks later.
It is getting bigger now. I think I convinced myself I got there just in time by chopping off that scape. Conversely, I have plenty other early-blooming seedlings I chose not to cut the scape that are now 100% dead.
So, really it is a competition of greed versus logic. Greedily, I do not want to wait until next year to see a first bloom if a scape is sitting there looking at me today. But logically, I should put the plant itself first, for long-term interests. I think I just wanted to have my cake and eat it too.