Sorry, had to run.
(1) Probability of later date in spring (thru Jul 31) than indicated.
(2) Probability of earlier date in fall (beginning Aug 1) than indicated.
(3) Probability of longer than indicated freeze free period.
(4) Probability of Freeze/Frost in the yearly period (percent of days with temperatures at or below the threshold temperature).
There's a 90% chance you'll have a 32F frost after March 3.
There's a 50% chance of HARD frost after March 4
There's a 50% chance of a 32F frost after March 20
There's a 10% chance of HARD frost after March 22
There's a 10% chance of A 32F frost after April 7