I have spotted a scape in the garden and it's on FERN STONE which is always one of the first to bloom here. I've only had it 3 years but the person I got it from has had it since introduction and he says it was always the first for him also. The scapes are just emerging so it will bloom in about 4-5 weeks (maybe 6) if we don't keep getting cold weather here and it gets frozen off.
It bloomed on March 25th in 2012 (which is the norm for FERN) so that puts us about a month and a half behind in bloom season again; it may be closer to 2 months behind but we shall see.