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Sep 28, 2021 7:53 AM CST
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Lucius93 said:COVID in Israel: The 17% Unvaccinated Make Up 60% of Deaths This Week
https://www.haaretz.com/israel...

More than 60 percent of COVID-related deaths in Israel over the past week have been of unvaccinated patients, as official Health Ministry data shows that the 17 percent of eligible Israelis who have not received the vaccine have accounted for 85 coronavirus deaths in the past week.

So this means that almost 40% of dead people were vaccinated. That's huge. They should hurry up with their boosters.


Yes, that is significant, but a more telling picture would have been to represent it as deaths per capita.

We know that 17% of the eligible Israelis aren't vaccinated and that sadly 85 died in the past week from COVID. We also know that that's about 60% of the COVID deaths for the week, so we can calculate that the total was about 141 and that 56 vaccinated people died.

We can reframe it like this: There were 85 deaths from the unvaccinated 17% of the eligible population and 56 from the vaccinated 83% of the population.

If we scale the larger population to be the same size as the smaller one (divide the larger by 83/17), then for the 85 deaths in the unvaccinated population there were 11 or 12 deaths for the same number of vaccinated people. In other words, for every vaccinated person that died, 7 or 8 unvaccinated people died.

It's worth keeping in mind that there is a threshold where once enough of the population is vaccinated, we will actually see the majority of deaths occur in the vaccinated group. That's not evidence that the vaccine doesn't work; quite the contrary. It's just maths - if the vaccine reduces mortality by a factor of 8, then once more than ~89% of the population (8/9) are vaccinated, deaths from the vaccinated population will start to exceed those from the unvaccinated population.
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Last edited by Australis Sep 28, 2021 7:54 AM Icon for preview

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