This forecast is for the Oklahoma City area for Tuesday.
From NWS
"Discussion... increasing boundary layer moisture today will work with a dryline into northwest Oklahoma this afternoon to give a chance for thunderstorms. These features will be coincident with the southern extent of a trough from an Upper Love over the northern plains. However, a capping inversion is expected to limit coverage of storms this afternoon and evening. Shear is sufficient for hail- producing supercells over northern Oklahoma. Weak upper ridging is expected Monday although lower level moisture will be increasing in central and eastern Oklahoma. Some showers or isolate thunder may occur late Monday/early Tuesday east of I-35. Tuesday still looks like the most significant severe weather day of the week. A strong upper low over the central rockies will provide strong divergence and vertical shear for supercell thunderstorms. A dryline will mix east, likely east of the western border counties of Oklahoma, before providing sufficient convergence for thunderstorm initiation. Any inversion is expected to be overcome by increasing synoptic lift by late afternoon somewhere north- south through central or western Oklahoma. Shear increases through the evening which will maintain or increase strength of storms. Very large hail and tornadoes are expected. When this system passes early Wednesday, weak ridging ahead of the next system will give a reprieve. However, the next system may give a prolonged period of storms/rain from late Thursday into the weekend. Moisture will be ample and nearby after the Tuesday system, and lift should be sufficient for good chances or likely rain the end of the week. This system is expected to exit after Saturday. "
The strong instability and a dry line will increase chances of Supercell development.
Stay safe
Blessings
